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Breezy and cooler conditions arrive today with scattered showers into tonight.
Dry weather Monday into Tuesday with a warming trend. The next chance of showers and storms is possible late Wednesday and Thursday.
Detroit (DTX) — the National Weather Service forecast in plain English · Plaincast
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Discussion
Stacked low pressure system spinning just to our east over southern Ontario will lift northeast into Quebec overnight. We're dealing with cold advection on the backside of the low today with a strong mid level wave passing over this afternoon before the low finally departs. Atmosphere utilizing the low level moisture one last time this afternoon with a round of scattered showers before ridging pushes in and dries out the mid levels ending precipitation chances later this evening. SPC Mesoanalysis shows around 250 J/kg of storm energy mainly in the Thumb with a band of low level convergence stretching from MBS to PHN. This has been enough to generate some showers in the area. Weak mid level lapse rates and little instability should help minimize much of any lightning. Cool night in store as dewpoints have already fallen to around 50 and even the mid 40s across northern MI. Once the daily clouds mix out we should clear out for the most part. Questionable area will be the eastern Thumb where the cloud shield from the upper low continues to reach back toward the area. Clouds would help hold those temperatures up a few degrees if the clouds never release.
Surface high builds in tonight for Monday and Tuesday while upper level heights also inch upwards. We'll keep the northwesterly flow Monday helping to hold highs temperatures on the cool side again in the mid 70s, but the ridge axis passes on Tuesday allowing for some warmer return flow to get us back up toward 80.
Next trough affect the region mid week with a warm front pushing north of the area Tuesday evening tied to a low passing through the northern Great Lakes. Upper level waves start ejecting out of the trough over the region Wednesday leading to increasing chances of rainfall before the main trough axis and cold front sweep through early Thursday.
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